LOOKING AHEAD:

TUESDAY, JULY 22, 2014

TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION:
GOOD MORNING.
Not much change in the forecast for today. Temps will slowly warm as the week progresses. We can plan on high temps today to range from 78-82* around the area. Low temps at night will be in the 60s for most areas. Winds will be light and variable from 5-10mph. By Thursday temps will warm up throughout SoCal with Inland and Desert areas looking at triple digit temps. One item of interest, an area of Low pressure originating around Georgia, is forecast to retrograde around the High pressure over our area, to just off the SoCal Coast by Monday. This is forecast to increase the chances for Thunderstorms, Sunday and Monday. *RC

EL NINO updates are at the bottom of this page.

TODAY’S FIRE WEATHER:
VERY HIGH
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY…
DRY AND VERY WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
DESERTS APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING 115 DEGREES. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITIES DURING THIS TIME WILL DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID
TEENS…THOUGH GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY IS EXPECTED EACH DAY. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT.

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Current Lake Gregory Weather Conditions:


july ENSO
As for the 2014/2015 “EL NINO”.
Signs for an upcoming EL NINO are weakening at this time. Sea surface temperatures are cooling along the western coastal areas from SoCal, to South America. However, this doesn’t mean an EL NINO is off the table. As we get closer to Fall, it’s likely SST’s will again warm along the Western Coastlines from California to South Amercia. There are many conditions that play into an EL NINO, SST’s are just one of them. Atmospheric Conditions have yet to respond to what would be an EL NINO pattern. This too is not unusual, during the developmental phase of EL NINO, and very well may change by September. At this time, the Climate Prediction Center favors a moderate El Nino ahead for winter 2014/2015. Forecast models are based on real time data as well as past events. So as Fall and Winter draw near, the EL NINO forecast will get better. * RC

* my opinion.