Friday, April 19, 2024

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

..Good Morning.
..This morning the Marine layer has moved into the IE up to a depth of around 2500-3000′ level. This will burn off by later this morning as daytime heating develops. There are also some Sub-Tropical Cumulus type clouds at the mid and upper level of the Atmosphere that will give the sky some character.
..A weak area of Low pressure will pass over SoCal today that should bring slightly cooler temperatures as well as gusty SW winds later today, as the Trough passes by.
..Behind the Trough, a Ridge will build over the West that will bring a short, but quick warming trend to the local area for Saturday through Monday.
..Daytime high temperatures will peak Sunday and Monday locally before a cooling trend begins for all of next week. There will be Moring Fog in the Valley again tomorrow morning possibly into the local Foothills, again up to ~3000′ then dissipating by late morning.
..LOOKING AHEAD:
..As we head into next week, there will be a couple of short waves pass over the SoCal Region from areas of Low pressure to our North.
..As we go through the work week, temperatures will be cooling off slowly each day through the weekend. By Friday we could see a chance for a few scattered showers move through SoCal into Saturday morning.
..CRYSTAL BALL OUITLOOK:
..After the chance for scattered showers passes by Saturday the 27th, High pressure will again build across the Region with a warming trend to follow. RC
..The EL NINO is fading rapidly as we transition to an ENSO Neutral pattern for the next four to six months.
..My weather forecasts are derived from what I feel is the most probable outlook for our area. RC

Saturday, October 23, 2021

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TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


..Good Morning.
..This morning, a weak Trough is passing over SoCal. As a result, the Marine layer has moved inland and is up to around 5500′ thick, with fog and clouds along and below the Rim.
..This will slowly clear out today as the Trough moves out of the area. However morning fog and low clouds can be expected again overnight and in the morning tomorrow.
..Temperatures will be running in the upper 50s to mid 60s today across the mountains as well as on Sunday.
..Late Sunday as a much stronger system approaches the West, we will see gusty winds develop along the Rim and front country in advance of a pretty wet system that will bring a good wetting rain to the area through early Tuesday morning.
..This system will have support of an Atmospheric River (AR) that will be dying out as it passes over SoCal. However, it will be strong enough to bring up to 2 inches of rain in some local mountain upslope areas. The recent burn areas need to keep watch over the recently burned hills for the possibility of flash Flooding or mud flows.
..The snow levels due to the AR from the South will keep those levels at 7500′ and above for this storm.
..As this will be the first rain that will likely cause some run off, this is a good time to check those drainage areas to make sure they are clear of debris.
..Tuesday and for the rest of the week ahead, we will have clearing skies and warming temperatures as High pressure rebuilds into the SoCal region. RC
..That’s it for now, have a good day! RC

 

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures and current winds:

Crestline-65/47*, Playground Dr-59/44*, Cdr-Pines Park-61/44*, Dart Canyon-65/48*, Twin-Peaks-60/43*, Rim Forest-66/41*, Lake Arrowhead-64/45*, Arrowhead Villas-60/44*, Heaps Peak-60/44*, Running Springs-62/45*, Arrowbear-65/37*, Green Valley Lk-59/42*, Big Bear-66/45*, Upper Waterman Canyon-68/49*, Lower Waterman Canyon-74/53*, San Berdo-79/53*, Devore Heights-75/52*, Cajon Pass-70/52*, Rock Camp-65/41*, Sky Park-59/45*.