Monday, October 07, 2024

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

Morning Line Fire Update: October 7, 2024.
..Acreage is at-43,978, Containment is at-80% today.
..Morning Update 10/07/2024: Higher than average temperatures continue throughout today, with temperatures starting to drop tomorrow. Fire behavior will remain challenging throughout the week with stronger afternoon winds, with gusts reaching near 22 mph.

..WEATHER TRENDS:
..Good Morning.
..Today will be my last weather update for a week or so while I take care of some personal and medical issues.
..This morning we have clear skies and light winds from the NE. As we continue to sit under a dome of High pressure temperatures will remain above normal running in the mid to upper 80s.
..Winds will be light as we are in the center of the area of High pressure with the winds flowing outward for the center of the High, and calm locally.
..During the afternoon hours we will see the winds pick up for a short period, then calm back down in the evening.
..LOOKING AHEAD:
..Tuesday a trailing Trough from an area of of Low pressure across the PAC-NW will bring cooler temperatures to the West, including the SoCal Mountains.
..This is not a strong Trough so the change will be mild from this system as it passes.
..There will not be a significant drop in temperatures from this first Trough but it’s a start to a cooling trend that will last through the week.
..Wednesday and Thursday we will be in between Troughs, with mostly clear skies mild weather expected.
..CRYSTAL BALL OUTLOOK:
..A second deeper Trough will pass through the PAC-NW Friday bringing with it more cooling for the local Mountains.
..For the weekend we may see a weak Santa Ana develop as the area of Low pressure passes to our North.
..Temperatures over the weekend are expected to be more typical for this time of year.
..There are no indications of any significant rain for our area in the ten day outlook at this time.
..Thank you for joining me here at lakegregoryweather.com
..My weather outlooks are derived from what I feel is most probable for our area. RC

Saturday, October 23, 2021

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TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


..Good Morning.
..This morning, a weak Trough is passing over SoCal. As a result, the Marine layer has moved inland and is up to around 5500′ thick, with fog and clouds along and below the Rim.
..This will slowly clear out today as the Trough moves out of the area. However morning fog and low clouds can be expected again overnight and in the morning tomorrow.
..Temperatures will be running in the upper 50s to mid 60s today across the mountains as well as on Sunday.
..Late Sunday as a much stronger system approaches the West, we will see gusty winds develop along the Rim and front country in advance of a pretty wet system that will bring a good wetting rain to the area through early Tuesday morning.
..This system will have support of an Atmospheric River (AR) that will be dying out as it passes over SoCal. However, it will be strong enough to bring up to 2 inches of rain in some local mountain upslope areas. The recent burn areas need to keep watch over the recently burned hills for the possibility of flash Flooding or mud flows.
..The snow levels due to the AR from the South will keep those levels at 7500′ and above for this storm.
..As this will be the first rain that will likely cause some run off, this is a good time to check those drainage areas to make sure they are clear of debris.
..Tuesday and for the rest of the week ahead, we will have clearing skies and warming temperatures as High pressure rebuilds into the SoCal region. RC
..That’s it for now, have a good day! RC

 

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures and current winds:

Crestline-65/47*, Playground Dr-59/44*, Cdr-Pines Park-61/44*, Dart Canyon-65/48*, Twin-Peaks-60/43*, Rim Forest-66/41*, Lake Arrowhead-64/45*, Arrowhead Villas-60/44*, Heaps Peak-60/44*, Running Springs-62/45*, Arrowbear-65/37*, Green Valley Lk-59/42*, Big Bear-66/45*, Upper Waterman Canyon-68/49*, Lower Waterman Canyon-74/53*, San Berdo-79/53*, Devore Heights-75/52*, Cajon Pass-70/52*, Rock Camp-65/41*, Sky Park-59/45*.