Friday, June 28th, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
Today will be another very nice day across the mountain. There will be a few changes beginning late this afternoon. A fairly strong area of Low pressure off the Pac-NW will hold an area of High pressure that is over NW Mexico in check, for now. The High to our Southeast will be expanding toward SoCal as the Low to our North does the same. We will be in the middle of these two systems fo the next few days which will keep us from having a heat wave locally. However, Tropical storm Alvin off the southern tip of Baja, will also play a part in the weather locally for the next 48hours.
..Today we will start the day with clear skies and hazy conditions in the Valley. Then as Alvin’s moisture gets sheared toward SoCal in the Westerlies, we will begin to see High level clouds at the 20-30,000’level move into SoCal by late this afternoon.
..Saturday clouds will thicken in the upper levels from around 12,000 foot level up producing a solid cloud cover. There will be a slight chance for a light shower or sprinkle Saturday and Saturday night. We shouldn’t see much of a change on Temperatures even with the cloud cover as this is a Tropical air mass. I have ran several models this morning checking CAPE, LI, and the K-index levels, and so far it looks like there will NOT be a chance for Thunderstorms with this air mass. There will be a period of low level shear early Sunday morning but not enough to produce any T-Storms as it looks at this time.
..On the longer range outlook, it looks pretty stable out there for the next five days or so with temperatures remaining about the same with only a few degrees of variance. That’s it for now! Be sure to check on the Lake Gregory Weather Group, facebook page, for any radar loops or updates as may be needed.
Thank you. RC @ www.lakegregoryweather.com

..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-75/59*, Twin Peaks-70/52*, Lk Arrowhead-74/56*, Running Springs-76/53*, Big Bear-76/35*, GVL-72/57*, San Berdo-93/56*, Wtrmn Cyn-83/48*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Thursday, June 27th, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
Another beautiful day for today and through the weekend ahead. Today we will have mostly clear skies with slightly warmer temperatures as a Subtropical High expands towards SoCal from the Southeast. Our first named Tropical storm of the season, Alvin, is currently about 400 miles off of the Southern tip of Baja California. Alvin is expected to remain on a West Northwest trajectory heading out to sea over the next few days and dissipating. However the Westerlies will pick up the upper level clouds and push them over SoCal in the next couple days. Saturday we should have the most cloud cover as it looks this morning. There doesn’t appear to be much in the way of dynamics for Thunderstorm development locally at this time, but I will be watching this for any changes. There will be a very slight chance for a sprinkle Saturday as the upper level cloud cover passes over the Mountains.
..Over the weekend, we will be sandwiched between a Subtropical High to our Southwest and a Trough off of an area of Low pressure centered off the Pac-NW. So with very little movement of either pressure zone things could change quite a bit. But for now, I’m going with increasing cloud cover for Saturday and Sunday with slightly warmer temperatures and higher humidity levels over the weekend. Winds will be light and variable through the period with mild overnight lows.
..In the Valley below the Marine layer will weaken for the next couple days as High pressure builds into the area.
..On the long range outlook, Summer is beginning to take shape as is the monsoon flow across the Southwest. Over the next 10days it looks like there will be two more Tropical disturbances develop to our South moving North along the Baja peninsula. As these systems move North, they can move into the Colorado River area bringing rain and Thunderstorms to that area. Occasionally these storms will move a little further West and bring a chance for T-Storms to our area and especially Big Bear and GVL.
..That’s it for today., Have a great day and enjoy the great mountain weather!!
..As far as El Nino goes, we are still considered to be in a weak El Nino State for ENSO region 3.4(our area). The waters for our region are still running about 1*c, +or- above normal for this time of year. The above average SST’s (Sea Surface Temperatures) are expected to continue through the Summer months as is the El Nino State. For more information on the current El Nino cycle, check the El Nino page on the drop down menu. Enjoy.
..Have a good day and weekend. RC @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.

..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-73/46*, Twin Peaks-72/53*, Lk Arrowhead-72/53*, Running Springs-68/52*, Big Bear-74/35*, GVL-73/41*, San Berdo-89/57*, Wtrmn Cyn-80/50*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Wednesday, June 26th, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
..Not much change in the forecast for the next couple of days. Continued morning fog in the lowlands with mostly clear skies above. Temperatures will remain in the 70s for the most part through Friday.
..For the weekend, a Subtropical air mass will be nudging into the area from New Mexico at the same time a cooler air mass will be pushing south from the PAC-NW. This could bring a change in the weather for Saturday in the form of increased cloud cover and a chance for a Thunderstorm locally as well as out toward the colorado river. Other than that, not much going on.
..As far as El Nino goes, we are still considered to be in a weak El Nino State for ENSO region 3.4(our area). The waters for our region are still running about 1*c, +or- above normal for this time of year. The above average SST’s (Sea Surface Temperatures) are expected to continue through the Summer months as is the El Nino State. For more information on the current El Nino cycle, check the El Nino page on the drop down menu. Enjoy.
..Have a good day and weekend. RC @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.

..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-75/48*, Twin Peaks-70/50*, Lk Arrowhead-73/54*, Running Springs-66/52*, Big Bear-64/35*, GVL-71/41*, San Berdo-86/61*, Wtrmn Cyn-77/49*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Tuesday, June 25th, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
This morning we continue to have a fairly strong onshore pressure gradient between San Diego and the High Desert. Fog has moved into the Valley and is around 2000′ thick, AGL. This will burn off later this morning leaving mostly clear skies below, and for the mountain communities.
..An upper level Trough will persist along the West Coast through Friday, then move North and East. Scattered high clouds will pass over SoCal for the next couple of days. Temperatures will begin to cool slightly for Wednesday and Thursday then begin a slow warm up just in time for the weekend.
..As the upper level Trough moves out, a Subtropical area of High pressure will expand from old Mexico, West into SoCal. Here we will be in between the cyclonic flow (L) to our North, and the Anticyclonic flow (H) to our South and East. So we may see an increase in Humidity as well as daytime temperatures, or maybe not depending on which one ends up being the dominant area of Pressure over SoCal.
..One more item to add to the mix, currently there is a Tropical cyclone developing to our South below the southern tip of Baja. Some of the moisture from this system is looking like it will get caught up in the upper Jet stream (200mb and 500mb) and be carried into Socal next Sunday and or Monday. So this will be something I will be keeping an eye on in the coming days as this could bring a few showers to the area.
..As far as El Nino goes, we are still considered to be in a weak El Nino State for ENSO region 3.4(our area). The waters for our region are still running about 1*c, +or- above normal for this time of year. The above average SST’s (Sea Surface Temperatures) are expected to continue through the Summer months as is the El Nino State. For more information on the current El Nino cycle, check the El Nino page on the drop down menu. Enjoy.
..Have a good day and weekend. RC @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.

..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-82/51*, Twin Peaks-80/53*, Lk Arrowhead-79/58*, Running Springs-74/57*, Big Bear-77/38*, GVL-75/47*, San Berdo-93/58*, Wtrmn Cyn-85/48*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Monday, June 24th, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
..Today will likely be the warmest day of the next five. The Ridge of High pressure that has brought fairly warm temperatures to the local area will move East today and be replaced by a weak Trough centered to the North of SoCal. This will increase the onshore flow starting Tuesday and help to deepen the Marine layer over the next few days. Temperatures will be cooler Tuesday through Thursday as the Trough moves through to our North. We will have occasional gusty SW winds through the period mainly during the evenings.
..Then by Saturday, High pressure will move into the South West raising temperatures and possibly humidity levels as well. Although there is not any Monsoonal Moisture associated with this Sub Tropical High pressure initially, we may see some around July 4th. Also a Tropical Disturbance off of the Southern Tip of Baja is likely to strengthen into a Tropical Storm in a couple days. So we may see something from that later this week or early next week as well.
..As far as El Nino goes, we are still considered to be in a weak El Nino State for ENSO region 3.4(our area). The waters for our region are still running about 1*c, +or- above normal for this time of year. The above average SST’s (Sea Surface Temperatures) are expected to continue through the Summer months as is the El Nino State. For more information on the current El Nino cycle, check the El Nino page on the drop down menu. Enjoy.
..Have a good day and weekend. RC @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.

..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-80/50*, Twin Peaks-78/54*, Lk Arrowhead-80/59*, Running Springs-75/58*, Big Bear-73/39*, GVL-73/44*, San Berdo-98/61*, Wtrmn Cyn-87/51*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Sunday, June 23rd, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
This morning we have clear skies across the whole IE. Although there is some haze in the Valley, but nothing substantial.
..Today and Tomorrow we will continue to have warm temperatures for the mountain areas. This is due to a Ridge of High pressure over the South West. Temperatures should peak Monday before a cooling trend begins.
..Tuesday an area of Low pressure will move into the Pac-NW. This will strengthen the onshore flow locally and help the Marine to push Inland for Tuesday and Wednesday. However, a Subtropical area of High pressure will develop over Texas and Northern Mexico and expand West into the Desert South West mid week. This will bring in a warmer air mass along with higher temperatures and probably higher humidity to our area for the latter part of next week.
..Then for the final finally of June, the forecast charts this morning bring the remnants of a Tropical system into SoCal for June 30th. this may be the first signs of the Monsoon Season locally. On the 500mb Vorticity chart it shows strong vertical lift on the 30th and July 1st over our area so there will be a chance for local Thunderstorms if this does develop as shown.
..So in recap, not much change in the next few days as Highs and Lows pass through the West. Temperatures will vary but not more than a few degrees. Typical SoCal weather for this time of year. As far as El Nino goes, we are still considered to be in a weak El Nino State for ENSO region 3.4(our area). The waters for our region are still running about 1* +or- above normal for this time of year. The above average SST’s (Sea Surface Temperatures) are expected to continue through the Summer months as is the El Nino State. For more information on the current El Nino cycle, check the El Nino page on the drop down menu. Enjoy.
..Have a good day and weekend. RC @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.

..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-81/47*, Twin Peaks-77/51*, Lk Arrowhead-80/54*, Running Springs-74/55*, Big Bear-70/38*, GVL-72/45*, San Berdo-86/55*, Wtrmn Cyn-77/50*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Saturday, June 22, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
This morning as expected, we have a North East wind as yesterday’s Trough of Low pressure moves East. Currently the center of the Trough is located in Utah and Western Colorado. We are on the back side of the circulation which is why we have a NE flow across the region.
..The Northeast winds will subside by late this morning and become light with a few gusts to 10mph this afternoon. Most of the wind is along the Ridges this morning as Playground drive’s weather station, courtesy of AirSites2000.com, is reporting NE winds to 23mph. All other stations have winds below 5mph so far this morning.
..Temperatures today and through the weekend will warm as High pressure tries to build into the West from over the Pacific. The Marine layer will weaken as well, with Coastal fog continuing, but not as deep for the Inland areas. This morning the Marine layer was about 3500-4000′ thick as of 6am but is slowly being pushed back to the lower elevations as the NE winds, and drier air from the Interior West mix with the Marine air.
..Monday should be our warmest day of the next five as the Heights over the area peak. Then another Trough will move into the Pac-NW bringing in cooler air again. However, an area of High pressure over Mainland Mexico and Northern Baja will intervene stopping the Southward progression of the trough into SoCal. So here in SoCal we will be somewhere in the middle of the two air masses. As these systems develop in the coming days we will get a better idea of what to expect. Have a good day and weekend. RC @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.

..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-60/44*, Twin Peaks-64/46*, Lk Arrowhead-75/49*, Running Springs-63/52, Big Bear-74/38*, GVL-74/47*, San Berdo-76/60*, Wtrmn Cyn-73/53*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Friday, June 21, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning. Welcome Summer at 8:54am this morning!
This morning we have fog below the 5500-6000′ level, then mostly clear skies above that. Big Bear and Running Springs are both clear as of 7am.
..Today a Trough will pass over SoCal increasing the depth of the Marine layer with some drizzle along the Rim and the South facing slopes. Away from the Rim, on the North side of Arrowhead, skies should be mostly clear today. Gusty South West winds will continue today, the NWS has issued a WIND ADVISORY that will remain in effect until 9pm tonight.
..The area of Low pressure that has brought this cool weather to the area as well as a deep Marine layer will move East early tomorrow morning. As the Low moves out toward the East, North East winds will follow behind the departing system. These winds will clear out the Moisture locally and a drier air mass will move over the local area. Temperatures will warm back up by a few degrees for Saturday through Monday.
..Tuesday through Thursday, cooler temperatures will return as another area of Low pressure slides South along the West Coast of California.
..Overall, we will continue to be in a weak Troughing pattern with Troughs of Low pressure alternating with weak Ridging over SoCal through the end of the month. For the start of July, a Tropical system will move up the Coast from Baja to welcome in the Monsoon Season in the Southwest. RC
..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)
..Have a good day and enjoy the great Mountain weather.*RC


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-70/49*, Twin Peaks-72/47*, Lk Arrowhead-72/48*, Running Springs-69/52*, Big Bear-75/54*, GVL-73/46*, San Berdo-85/58*, Wtrmn Cyn-77/53*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Thursday, June 20, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
..Today we will see a couple changes in our weather locally. The Marine layer is at around the 2000′ level this morning with clear skies above the 2500′ elevation.
An area of Low pressure centered to our North will begin to affect our weather later today. A Trough off of that Low will move into the SoCal region bringing in colder air and a deeper Marine layer for Tonight and Friday. SW winds will become gusty especially this afternoon through tomorrow morning for the local area. The NWS has issued a Wind Advisory for our area from 4pm today through 7am Friday morning for our area.
..Temperatures are expected to be from 10-15* cooler today and tomorrow with highs in the 60s and low 70s for the mountains. Overnight lows will dip into the 40s and even possibly to the upper 30s at the higher elevations. The Marine layer will deepen to around the 6000′ level tomorrow morning with a chance for drizzle and or a shower, from the Coast to the local area.
..Saturday as the Trough departs the area, NE winds will pick up clearing out the Marine layer and a warming trend will begin. By Sunday, temperatures should be back into the mid to upper 70s as we begin a pattern change to a more Summer like weather pattern for SoCal.
..Long range outlook, a Tropical disturbance will move North from off of Baja California around the middle of next week. This will likely push moisture into the AZ and southern Desert region on the Westerlies as it moves to our West. Depending on how this plays out we may see a chance for the Big Bear area to get there first Thunder storms of the Monsoon Season. RC
..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)
..Have a good day and enjoy the great Mountain weather.*RC


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-86/58*, Twin Peaks-83/56*, Lk Arrowhead-87/61*, Running Springs-77/59*, Big Bear-79/46*, GVL-77/49*, San Berdo-92/61*, Wtrmn Cyn-84/52*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC


Wednesday, June 19, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


Good Morning.
Today the Marine layer is just into the Inland Valley but very thin. It’s almost more of a haze at this point this morning.
..We will continue to have pretty much the same Weather pattern through early next week with warm temperatures today then cooling Thursday through Saturday under a weak Trough. Then for Sunday through Tuesday a more zonal flow in the upper atmosphere with a weak area of High pressure nudging in from the West again. So over all temperatures will remain in the mid 70s to mid 80s through the period.
..Then a pattern change is starting to work up. July officially is the start of the Monsoon Season for Southwest. As it looks this morning, we will see the first signs of this toward the end of next week as a Sub-Tropical area of High pressure sets up over Western Mexico along with another area of High pressure to our Northwest over the Pacific. Also, it looks like the first Tropical storm of the season will move up from the Tropics around the 28th which will likely push moisture into the South West in the form of Thunderstorms into the region. So if you don’t like our nice cool weather,it’s going to change very soon. As the Monsoonal flow moves into the West, humidity and higher temperature will follow. Enjoy!
..As we head into Fire Season please use caution in all mountain areas. Also I will begin today posting the Fire Danger levels on the bottom of this page also check the wx alerts page for an in depth look at the local fire weather..(Website)
..Have a good day and enjoy the great Mountain weather.*RC


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-83/56*, Twin Peaks-78/60*, Lk Arrowhead-87/63*, Running Springs-77/60*, Big Bear-76/43*, GVL-79/50*, San Berdo-87/57*, Wtrmn Cyn-86/53*.



..On the main page of the website, www.lakegregoryweather.com I have added two live webcam views, one of Lake Gregory pointing North, and the other facing Southeast toward Waterman canyon. These are very helpful for the drive up and down the hill. If the camera view is gray, that means it’s foggy.


..Be sure to check out the other pages on the website for the Latest on El Nino, live webcams from around the area, live Radar, Satellite loops, Traffic conditions, along with live Weather conditions, and a live view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake. Have a good Day! *RC