Tuesday, Sept 19, 2017

 

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:



Good Morning.
A change in the weather is approaching. Today, mostly clear skies with slightly cooler temperatures above the 5500′ level. Fog is along the front of the mountain this morning to around the 4000-4700′ level. Highs today will be from 65-72* around the local area. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 40s. As an area of low pressure slides south over the next couple of days, increasing winds from the SW can be expected along with an increase in clouds beginning tomorrow. Temperatures will continue to cool through Friday. Big Bear and Running Springs may see overnight lows dip to the freezing point by Thursday night or Friday morning. Gusty SW winds will accompany the area of low pressure along with a 25% chance for a shower locally on Thursday. Friday we will be clearing out as a Santa Ana wind event develops across most of SoCal into the weekend. Fall will arrive with very Fall like weather for the Mountains. Have a good day. RC

Monday, Sept 18, 2017

 

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Good Morning.
Today’s weather pattern will continue to be onshore flow and slightly warmer daytime temperatures. Light fog along the Rim at times today and this evening along with some gusty winds. Temperature today will be in the mid 70s for Crestline and Arrowhead, and in the upper 60s to low 70s for Big Bear and Running Springs. Lows tonight will be from the low to mid 40s except Big Bear where temps will be in the low 30s. Mostly clear skies can be expected above the Marine layer today. On the longer range outlook, a couple of troughs will be passing through the area during the week. Thursday and Friday we should see an increase in cloud cover with a slight chance for a shower locally. The highest elevations may pick up some snow flurries. For the Mammoth area and North along the Sierras, the first light snowfall of the year is likely as Thursday’s system passes through that area. Also, I started a Facebook Page for local weather chat, “lake Gregory Weather Group”. I will also be posting URGENT WEATHER ALERTS and updates as well as current RADAR videos when appropriate. This is a open discussion page for weather related topics, all I ask is use common sense and courtesy when posting, and keep on topic. RC

Sunday, Sept 17, 2017

 

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Good Morning.
Today we have fog once again up against the front side of the hill to about the 4000′ level. This will slowly clear leaving hazy skies for the Valley below. Above the 4500′ level, clear to mostly clear skies will be the days forecast. Temperatures today through Wednesday, will warm slightly running from 66-74* during the day and overnight lows will be in the mid 40s to low 50s. The Northern areas away from the Rim will be a little warmer. Above the 6000′ level, daytime temps will run from 62-68* and over night lows will be quite cool with lows in the low to mid 40s. Last night Big Bear had an overnight low of 32*. A big change is coming in the weather mid week. A deepening area of low pressure will begin to affect the Northwest beginning Monday. Then slowly dropping South during the work week. This is a very cold system and will bring snow to the upper elevations of the mountains in Washington, Idaho, Montana and Wyoming. Further south in Northern California, Rain will be likely as well as possible snow above the 7000′ level in the Sierras from Mammoth North by mid week. By Thursday here, we may see some rain showers as well into Friday morning. The freezing level for the local SoCal Mountains at that time, will be running around the 8000′ level as it looks this morning. So, we may see some snow on San Gorgonio and Baldy by Friday afternoon. Wednesday, we will have increasing winds as the system works it’s way into the area. Behind this system, we will most likely see our first significant Santa Ana winds as the low moves out and is replaced by higher pressure and warmer temperatures. So if you like a variety in the Weather, this week should do it for you. Have a good Day. Enjoy the nice weather. Also, I started a Facebook Page for local weather chat, “lake Gregory Weather Group”. I will also be posting URGENT WEATHER ALERTS and updates as well as current RADAR videos when appropriate. This is a open discussion page for weather related topics, all I ask is use common sense and courtesy when posting, and keep on topic. RC

Saturday, Sept 16, 2017

 

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:



Good Morning.
This morning’s Marine layer is a little lower than yesterday at this time(5am). It is at around the 3500-4000′ level, but will likely rise as the morning wears on, then thin out as the day progresses into the afternoon hours. Temperatures around the area will vary widely depending on where you are. Along the Rim, temps will be quite cool with highs in the low 60s. Away from the Rim out toward Deer Lodge Park, and the North side of Arrowhead, todays temps will be in the low to mid 70s, as they were yesterday. Running Springs, and Big Bear will be above the clouds so their temps will also be in the upper 60s to low 70s today. Overnight lows were in the upper 40s to low 50s for most areas locally with the exception of Big Bear, where the lows hit the 32-34* mark. Brrrr. We will have several low pressure areas passing through the West Coast over the next week. This will keep temps cool. The warmest days of the next five will be Monday-Wednesday. We may see temperatures in the low 70s across the area on those days, across the Mountain, before the next cold wave arrives. Thursday through Saturday, temps will be very cool again with highs expected top be in the mid to upper 60s during the day, and in the upper 30s to low 40s at night. There will also be a slight chance for a shower as the trough passes through on Thursday. West Coast troughing will likely continue through the end of the month keeping things very Fall like as we officially welcome the Fall Season in on the 22nd of September. October looks like it will begin with high pressure expanding across the West from the Pacific, with much warmer temperatures across all of SoCal for several days. So for today, partly cloudy skies will give way to mostly clear skies this afternoon. Cool temperatures and gusty winds this afternoon into this evening are expected. The Valley will be partly cloudy today with highs in the upper 70s, to the low 80s, in the warmer spots. Out toward the Coast, low clouds and fog will remain along the Coastal areas with only partial clearing this afternoon. To our south, there are a couple of Tropical Storms developing, however, they do not pose a threat to SoCal. In the Tropical Atlantic, Jose can’t seem to make up his mind if he wants to dissipate or regain strength. Currently, Jose looks like it will head toward the East Coast and graze the coastline North of Cape Cod. Later next week, another potentially strong Hurricane is headed toward the Carolinas as the models show at this time. So Hurricane season is far from over for the Atlantic region. Have a good day and enjoy the nice Fall like weather. RC

Friday, Sept 15, 2017

 

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:



Good Morning.
Fog and clouds have shrouded the local area from around the 2500′ level to about 6000′ level this morning. Cool temperatures overnight and today will make it feel very Fallish. The change in weather is due to a trough of low pressure that will exit the area today. A weak Ridge will build in behind the exiting trough later today and tomorrow with slightly warmer temperatures for Saturday. As the low departs, SW winds will turn briefly to the NE later tonight or early Saturday morning before returning to a SW flow again later in the day, Saturday. A second area of low pressure will arrive here Saturday which will keep the temperatures below normal through the work week ahead. Toward the end of next week, a deep low will pass through bringing even colder temperatures through Saturday of next week. Then, the Pacific High will expand over SoCal bringing a return of much warmer temperatures for the end of the month. At this time, there doesn’t appear to be any rain on the horizon for the next five to seven days other than drizzle from any fog that develops along the Rim or the front side of the mountain. Temperatures will remain in the 60s below the 6000′ level and a little warmer above that in areas above the marine layer. Big Bear may reach into the low 70s today with mostly clear skies. We should see less fog along the Rim for tomorrow morning, along with gusty winds each afternoon and early evenings for the next few days. For the areas away from the Rim, cool temperatures will also be the Forecast with less Marine layer influence in those areas. Slightly warmer temperatures for Deer Lodge Park and the North side of Arrowhead as well as Big Bear and Running Springs for today. That’s it for today. Have a good day and enjoy the nice Mountain Weather. RC

Thursday, Sept 14, 2017

 

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Good Morning.
The feel of Fall, has arrived to the Mountains. Very cool temperatures across the area this morning along with Fog and low Clouds along the Rim and many of the low lying areas. If you are driving down the hill this morning, expect to have foggy conditions and wet roads from around the Cliffhanger to the top of Waterman canyon. Currently as of 5:00 am, the webcam page shows fog at the intersection of HWY18 and Lake Gregory Drive, and below from there on HWY18. Don’t forget to use your headlights while driving in the fog. For today, cool temperatures will be the forecast for today, and tomorrow. High Temperatures will be in the low to mid 60s for most areas with overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Clouds and fog will remain in the forecast for today, and tomorrow during the mornings, and possibly into Saturday morning as well before we start to clear out. Only partial clearing is likely along the Rim today below the 6000 foot level. A Cut Off Low that has brought a variety of weather to California in recent days will move East today and out of the region. However, another trough of Low pressure will follow in behind the departing Cut Off Low. This will continue the cool weather trend through the rest of the week and into the weekend before we slowly start to begin a slow warm up. Today and Friday should be the coolest days of this week. A period of North East winds will briefly develop behind the departing Cut-Off Low, but we will quickly return to a SW flow as trough #2 arrives late Saturday and Sunday. The Valley will have low clouds and fog with partial clearing today. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70s for the next couple of days. The beaches will likely remain fogged in with only minimal clearing there. Drizzle or a light rain shower will be possible today most anywhere west of the Mountains. Gusty winds will also be in the mix especially in the passes. Playground Drive W/Station currently has SW winds at or about 20mph. All other areas are running from 5-10mph. RC

Wednesday, Sept 13, 2017

 

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:



Good Morning.
Today we will begin a change in our weather across the Mountains. An area of low pressure currently off the Coast will begin to move Inland later today. This will bring much cooler temperatures and gusty winds this afternoon to most of the local mountain areas. Temperatures are expected to be from 5-10* cooler today from what we had yesterday. Highs today for the Crestline and Lake Arrowhead areas should be in the mid 70s while in Big Bear and Running Springs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s for the local area and Big Bear may dip into the upper 30s by Friday. Fog and low clouds will develop as the onshore flow increases with fog likely in the Western parts of the Valley today, and up against the front side of the mountain by later tonight. The Marine layer is expected to thicken up to the 4500-5500 foot level by tomorrow morning with drizzle in the morning as well below that elevation. So wet roads will be a possibility for the morning commute tomorrow. West Coast troughing is expected to continue through the middle of next week as a couple more areas of low pressure will arrive in the PAC-NW keeping the cool weather pattern intact for SoCal through that time period. At this time, it doesn’t look like we will see any rain from these systems as they pass to the North. For our area, fog and low clouds with gusty winds will be the forecast. Some passing clouds will pass by today giving some character to the daytime skies.
On another note, I have started a Facebook page called, lake Gregory Weather group. This is for all of you weather enthusiasts to post weather events and or talk about weather stories from your area etc. All I ask is that you keep on topic and use common sense when blogging. This is a public group for all to use. This is also where I will post NWS Warnings and local RADAR loops as needed or any other pertinent weather related info for the local area.
RC

Tuesday, Sept 12, 2017

 

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:



Good Morning.
Warm temperatures today will be short lived as an area of Low pressure off the California Coast will begin to move Inland later today bringing much cooler temperatures to the area for tomorrow, and beyond. Today, we will have mostly clear skies as a dryer South West flow develops and moves across SoCal. This afternoon, upper level clouds may develop along the ridges with little chance of any precipitation today. High temperatures today will be in the mid 80s for Crestline and The Lake Arrowhead areas with overnight lows in the low 50s. Tomorrow high temperatures will much cooler with highs expected to be only in the low to mid 70s with overnight lows in the low to mid 40s. Big Bear and Running Springs will have highs today in the mid 70s with overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Tomorrow, Big Bear and Running Springs will have highs in the mid to upper 60s with overnight lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. As the area of low pressure moves across the State, SoCal will see an increase in the Marine layer locally, with fog likely up to the 4500′ level by Thursday and Friday. The Valley should see fog develop in the morning tomorrow with morning drizzle for Thursday and Friday. Winds will be increasing across the area from the South West becoming gusty in the afternoons. Wednesday though Friday afternoons, gusty SW winds to 20mph will be possible at times. Due to the influx of moisture at the lower elevations, the gusty winds shouldn’t elevate the local Fire Danger levels through Friday. A second trough of low pressure will pass through over the weekend keeping the temperatures very Fall like. Other than fog and Drizzle, at this time no measureable rain is in the forecast for the next several days. However, with a Cut Off Low, you never know. Looks like it will be time to get that heater ready with the cooler weather that is expected. Have a good day! RC
On another note, I have started a Facebook page called, lake Gregory Weather group. This is for all of you weather enthusiasts to post weather events and or talk about weather stories from your area etc. All I ask is that you keep on topic and use common sense when blogging. This is a public group for all to use. This is also where I will post NWS Warnings and local RADAR loops as needed or any other pertinent weather related info for the local area.

Monday, Sept 11, 2017

 

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:



Good Morning.
First off, take a minute to remember all who gave their lives on this day. As well as all who worked so hard to save others.
This morning we start out the day with Thunder, Lightning, and even a shower in some places. This is from an area of Low pressure that has cut off from the Jet Stream and is relatively stationary about 365 miles West of San Diego. Strong Storms from Pt. Mugu to Point Conception lasted most of the night and prompted a Marine weather warning offshore for that area. A Flash Flood Warning was issued for Northern Santa Barbara County last night as well. Today for the local area, we will have clouds for most of the day with a chance for a Thunderstorm and or a shower as well. A South East flow should remain over the San Bernardino Mountains for most of the day bringing in Tropical moisture from the Mainland Mexico which will give us a chance for T/Storms today. Temperatures will be cooler today with highs expected to be in the upper 70s and maybe into the low 80s if we get some clearing from the clouds. Overnight lows will be in the 50s for most areas except Big Bear where they will be in the upper 40s. The Cut Off Low will slowly move out of the area starting tomorrow, only to be replaced by a trough of Low pressure from the North. South West flow will increase as the week progresses which will deepen the Marine layer and help to push it Inland to the IE by Thursday. There will be a slight chance for rain later in the week as the Cut Off Low moves out across Central California. Fall weather has arrived to the Mountains. On the long range outlook today, it looks like West Coast Troughing will be the main weather feature for the next several days which will keep us in much cooler weather. On another note, I have started a Facebook page called, lake Gregory Weather group. This is for all of you weather enthusiasts to post weather events and or talk about weather stories from your area etc. All I ask is that you keep on topic and use common sense when blogging. This is a public group for all to use. This is also where I will post NWS Warnings and local RADAR loops as needed or any other pertinent weather related info for the local area. As far as Irma, yesterday was a busy day for Florida. However, it looks like their preparation has paid off. There will be lots of clean up ahead, but it seemed to go pretty well all things considered. That’s it for now. Have a good Day! RC

Sunday, Sept 10, 2017

 

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TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:


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Good Morning.
IRMA AM UPDATE BY LEVI COHEN IN THE VIDEO SECTION BELOW LEFT SIDE. ON THE VIDEO SECTION BELOW, ON THE RIGHT SIDE VIDEO, TIM VASQUEZ IS STREAMING A LIVE FEED WITH A MORE TECHNICAL LOOK THAT YOU CAN WATCH HERE. CLICK ON THE VIDEO (RIGHTSIDE)TO GET THE LIVE STREAM.
A Marine weather warning (9AM) for the coast off of Santa Barbara from Point Conception to Point Mugu for strong Thunderstorms heading North. Click the word “ANIMATED” above to view the radar clip of that system.
For today locally, we should see an increase in cloud cover later today as an area of low pressure off of the SoCal Coast draws moisture North from Mexico. By this afternoon, we will have a 30-50% chance for T/Storms for the Big Bear, Yucca Valley, upper Deserts, and maybe even the Arrowhead and Crestline areas. Winds this morning will be from the NE for most areas slowly turning to the SSE. As the winds change, we will increase our chances for T/Storm activity. There will be a Lightning Threat for the Big Bear area again later today through this evening. The Area of low pressure will remain off of the Coast of SoCal as a Cut Off Low through Monday. Later in the work week, the Cut Off low will move out to the NE, as a trough approaches the West Coast. Temperatures will be in the upper 70s to low 80s today and remain in the mid to upper 70s and low 80s through the next five days. Irma is making landfall today along the Florida Coast as a CAT4 Hurricane with 139~ mph winds. A Storm Surge will arrive later today for some areas at 5-15′. Thoughts and Prayers for those in her path. RC