Thursday, Feb 28, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
This morning we have light rain across the area. A weak storm will bring light showers, Clouds, and Fog, to the area through the morning hours today. Rainfall totals will be under .50″ today. Partial clearing will begin after noon today. A fairly strong pressure gradient from San Diego to the Desert will add gusty winds for our area through tonight. The Ridges and Canyon locations will have the strongest winds. The freezing levels will remain high for today’s system, around 8000′.
Friday we will be under a weak Ridge of High pressure for most of the day, but another storm will arrive by Friday night with more rain through the day Saturday. Rainfall estimates for Saturday’s storm will be a little higher than today’s running at around 1.00-1.50″ locally. Again, the freezing level will start out at the ~8000′ level but will lower toward the end of the storm Saturday afternoon to around the 7000′ level locally. So Big Bear, Green Valley Lake, Arrowbear, and Running Springs all may see some snow Saturday afternoon or evening.
Sunday a Ridge of High pressure will slowly build across SoCal with slow clearing from Saturday’s storm. Monday and Tuesday should be a little warmer and pretty nice days before the next wetter system arrives Tuesday night. This storm has the potential to bring a good soaking with it as the Atmospheric River will likely add moisture to this one. Again, High freezing levels are expected as this is another Pacific storm.
To our North, heavy rains have brought substantial flooding to many areas. Please keep those folks in your thoughts as they have had a very difficult year.
..Also, thank you to those of you who have donated to this website as that really helps offset the costs of running the website and its associated subscription fees, equipment maintenance, and tech fees.
..That’s it for today.
..Have a good Day! RC


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-53/41*-.04″R, Twin Peaks-51/38*-.02″R, Lake Arrowhead-55/39*-.01″R, Running Springs-48/38*, Big Bear-54/40*, San Berdo-70/51*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
..Northern California above the San Francisco Bay area is having a rough day today. Flooding along several rivers has prompted evacuation orders in several coastal areas especially along the Russian River. Prayers and thoughts for those affected.
..Here, we will have increasing clouds today as the system affecting the Northern Part of California will slowly slide South, weakening as it does. The AR that has been nearly stationary in NorCal will dissipate as the system slides South toward our area. Rain showers will be possible locally by this evening but will be light at best. Rainfall estimates for the local area are from .10-.50″ with high snow level at or about 7500′. Increasing Fog, and clouds will be the forecast today with a little cooler temps. Gusty SW winds can be expected as the storm moves closer to the SoCal region as well.
..Thursday morning we will still have a chance for showers locally as the system winds down. The bulk of this storm will move inland from around the Point Conception area, and North from there. So for the local area we will be on the bottom of the trough with only scattered showers expected for Wednesday night and Thursday. Partly cloudy skies with occasional showers will turn into mostly clear skies by the afternoon hours Thursday.
..For Friday, we should see plenty of Sun before the next system arrives for Saturday. The storm for Saturday will have better moisture associated with it as it looks now. Rainfall estimates are running from .50-1.00″ of rain below the 8000′ level. Snow levels will again be very high as this is another warm system from off of the Pacific. Scattered showers will continue into Sunday morning quickly tapering off in the morning.
..The next storm system that will affect our area will arrive around Wednesday of next week. As it looks this morning, this appears to have a good moisture feed and could produce a wetting rain for the region. However, this is also a warm system from the South that will bring high snow levels again. More on that later.
..Also, thank you to those of you who have donated to this website as that really helps offset the costs of running the website and its associated subscription fees, equipment maintenance, and tech fees.
..That’s it for today.
..Have a good Day! RC


Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-54/39*, Twin Peaks-49/36*, Lake Arrowhead-52/38*, Running Springs-47/36*, Big Bear-50/30*, San Berdo-73/43*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Tuesday, Feb 26, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
A weak AR will continue to bring rain to the Pac-NW today while SoCal remains under a Ridge of High pressure. Temperatures today will be in the upper 40s, to low 50s, today in the warmer areas. The pressure gradient from Tonopah to San Diego is running close to 4mb onshore due to Higher pressure offshore today and a Low pressure area in the Great Basin. Looking at the GOES17R this morning, there is some fog along the San Diego coastline and a short distance inland from there. Other than that, all of SoCal is under clear skies this morning. Later today we will have some high clouds pass over the area which may make for those great Winter Sunsets.
Tomorrow, Wednesday we will have increasing clouds and maybe some ridge fog late in the day as the tail end of the storm that is currently to our North slides South through SoCal. We will have a 15-25% chance for a shower locally late Wednesday and Thursday morning. The snow levels will remain from 7-8k’.
Thursday afternoon we have mostly clear skies as a weak Ridge of High pressure moves over SoCal.
Friday afternoon into Saturday, another weak system will arrive bringing another chance for rain showers. Again the snow levels will be quite high running from 6500-7500′. Clouds and Ridge fog will be likely for Friday night and Saturday morning. Rainfall estimates are running this morning for a combined total for both storms at under 1.00″.
On the longer range outlook, a couple of colder systems looks likely for around the 8th, and the 10th of March.
..Also, I would like to thank those of you that have donated to the website as that really helps offset the costs of running this website, and the associated subscription fees, maintenance of equipment, and tech fees.. Thank you. RC
..That’s it for today.
..Have a good Day! RC

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-56/37*, Twin Peaks-52/36*, Lake Arrowhead-58/39*, Running Springs-49/36*, Big Bear-51/23*, San Berdo-70/41*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Monday, Feb 25, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 



AR monday


TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
The Atmospheric River (AR) will enhance rain and snow to the Northern part of California over the next couple of days. Here in SoCal we will have high clouds and warmer temperatures as High pressure remains the dominant weather feature locally.
Today and Tuesday, temperatures will reach into the upper 40s to low 50s, with overnight lows still stuck in the upper 20s to low 30s. Winds will be light and variable from 5-10mph.
Wednesday, we will have increasing cloud cover as a storm currently to our North moves down the West Coast. By Wednesday afternoon and evening we should see lots of clouds with fog along the Rim as well as a 20% chance for light rain. The AR that is pushing into the NorCal region will slowly dissipate as the storm moves South into SoCal. So rainfall amounts will be light at best. The snow levels are expected to remain high ( 7000’+) as this is a system that generated over the Western Pacific not a cold Continental based storm like we have had more recently. Rainfall amounts will vary but around .10″ to maybe .50″ in the upslope areas is about the max expected.
Thursday we will have a chance for morning showers as the storm moves out and clearing skies return. Temperatures through the period look pretty stable with not much change through Friday.
On the longer range outlook, the weather pattern looks like it will shift back to a series of storms affecting the West Coast of California again. Saturday another system will move through SoCal with rain and high snow levels again. With several systems moving through the area through the middle of March.
..Also, I would like to thank those of you that have donated to the website as that really helps offset the costs of running this website, and the associated subscription fees, maintenance of equipment, and tech fees.. Thank you. RC
..That’s it for today.
..Have a good Day! RC

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-51/34*, Twin Peaks-44/34*, Lake Arrowhead-53/36*, Running Springs-41/34*, Big Bear-42/19*, San Berdo-70/44*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Sunday, Feb 24, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




 

TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
Warmer temperatures with lots of high clouds will be the forecast through Tuesday as High pressure along the SoCal, and Baja region remains in place. To our North, High pressure in the Gulf of Alaska is also affecting our weather by disrupting the Jet Stream flow that has been directing storms into SoCal for the last few weeks. This pattern will last through Tuesday. Then a series of Low pressure systems will move in from the West. These will be much warmer than the last few storms we have had due to a more West to East trajectory across the Pacific. Wednesday we will have a increasing clouds with a chance for a rain shower locally. Then for the weekend (Crystal ball area) a couple of systems should work through the area bringing rain along with high snow levels around the 6800-7500′ level. As for the AR(Atmospheric River) there will be a shot of moisture to our North through the period that maygive us a better chance for measurable rain locally if it slides South with the area of Low pressure. As it looks this morning the AR will be a weak class 1-2 out of a possible 5, or from .75-1.00″. This will likely change in the coming days but this is a good time to enjoy the nice weather as it looks like another period of rain may begin around mid week next week lasting into early March.
..Also, I would like to thank those of you that have donated to the website as that really helps offset the costs of running this website, and the associated subscription fees, maintenance of equipment, and tech fees.. Thank you. RC
..That’s it for today.
..Have a good Day! RC

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-43/28*, Twin Peaks-39/29*, Lake Arrowhead-45/29*, Running Springs-35/28*, Big Bear-41/12*, San Berdo-64/39*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Saturday, Feb 23, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




 

TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
Sorry I missed yesterday with the Power outage affecting my area. I have to be at work at 6am so I couldn’t do an update.
Storm totals from around the area were: Crestline-8-10″, Lake Arrowhead-8-12″, Running Springs-12″, Arrowbear-14″, Big Bear/Green Valley Lake-12-14″.
OK Edison, that wasn’t funny, off again?? really? 5am. Ehhhh!
This morning we have a fairly even pressure gradient from Tonopah to San Diego. As the day wears on High pressure will build into the Great Basin and a weak offshore flow will develop across SoCal. Skies will be clear with plenty of Sun, but due to the snow cover temperatures will remain pretty cool.
..As High pressure builds aloft over the Southwest, we will slowly warm up to normal temperatures by mid week next week as a pattern change takes shape. The constant flow of storms that have brought rain/snow to our area has shifted to the North for now. An area of High pressure will expand from the West over the next few days bringing in warmer air to SoCal. The Great Basin High will move East at the same time allowing the warming trend to take place. This will be the trend through mid week, next week. Clear skies with only occasional high clouds passing through the area will the forecast for the next five days. By next Tuesday we could see daytime highs in the mid to upper 40s for all areas.
..On the long range outlook, there is a chance for rain next weekend as a Tropical air mass moves close to SoCal.
..Enjoy the beautiful snow covered mountains and sunny skies.
Also, I would like to thank those of you that have donated to the website as that really helps offset the costs of running this website, and the associated subscription fees/maintenance. Thank you. RC
..That’s it for today.
..Have a good Day! RC

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-37/21*-8″S-.85R as of 5am, Twin Peaks-31/20*, Lake Arrowhead-36/25*, Running Springs-26/21*, Big Bear-29/-09*!!, San Berdo-57/33*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Thursday, Feb 21, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




 

TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
It’s going to be a beautiful day! The snow is light and fluffy, and when the Sun comes out, it will be picture perfect, tomorrow.
For today, Snow will continue through most of the day with a couple short breaks between waves passing through the area. Several more inches of snow can be expected today as the cold core of the Low moves through around noon today. A Thunderstorm is not out of the possibility later today as the center of the Low moves through. Snow levels will lower to the 3000′ level by tonight, but the main part of the system will have passed by then. Showers will taper off by this afternoon then another wave will move through around 4pm. After that wave passes, we will begin clearing out with a few residual showers lasting through tomorrow morning. Snowfall amounts for today will be from 1-4″ between 3000-4500′, from 4500-6000′ 4-8′ is expected, and from 6000′ and up, 8-14″ will be likely. The greatest amounts will be above the 7000′ level. Gusty winds and Fog at times today with blowing snow will make for a poor driving day. Snowplows will be out so use caution around those vehicles.
..Friday the clouds will begin to clear as the center of the Low will be over Arizona. A few residual showers will be possible in the morning (mostly in Big Bear and Green Valley Lake) but here we should see the sun for most of the day. Temperatures will remain on the cold side as cold air advection from the Great Basin High will give us a NE flow across the Mountains.
..Saturday we will finally begin a warming trend that will last through the first of March. Temperatures at that time will return to normal as we will be in a more Zonal East to West flow aloft. A Ridge of High pressure will develop to our South West Monday and move North over SoCal early next week. This is when we will be back to more normal temperatures with lots of Sun.
On the long range outlook, the next chance for rain will come around the 3rd of March. Till then, enjoy the beautiful snow covered mountains and sunny skies.
Also, I would like to thank those of you that have donated to the website as that really helps offset the costs of running this website, and the associated subscription fees / maintenance. Thank you. RC
..That’s it for today.
..Have a good Day! RC

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-33/29*-4″S-.60R as of 5am, Twin Peaks-29/26*, Lake Arrowhead-30/27*, Running Springs-27/24*, Big Bear-36/22*, San Berdo-52/40*-.21″R.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Wednesday, Feb 20, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 



540dm is the 32* line


 

TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
This will be the last of this series of storms to reach SoCal for awhile.
The NWS has issued a Winter Storm Warning for our area through Friday 1am. Details on the Wx Alerts page.(website)
..A Cold Core Low will slide South today along the Interior West Coast reaching SoCal by later this afternoon through Thursday. This will be a very cold storm for SoCal at 528dm in the core of this system. 540dm is the line used to depict the snow or freezing line. The core of this area of Low pressure is expected to pass over SoCal Thursday. So expect low snow levels with snow accumulations at the 3000-4500′ level of 1-3″, 4500-5500′-3-8″ and 5500-8000′-6-14″ will be possible from this storm. Also Thunderstorms will be possible as the very cold air moves over the region Thursday. Along the Coast we could see a waterspout or two as well. As this area of low pressure moves South today, it will deepen, or strengthen along the way. Strong and gusty winds are expected as well as fog along the Rim and poor driving conditions by late this afternoon or evening.
..Thursday will be cloudy with snow showers for most of the day expect to have WINTERY weather conditions all day with potentially heavy snowfall and accumulations of 3-16″ across the mountain from Waterman canyon to Green Valley Lake and Big Bear. This storm will wind down by Thursday afternoon with slow clearing overnight. A few residual showers will last through Friday morning.
..Saturday through next Tuesday, yea!! Sunshine so you can see when your digging yourself out of the snow! Temperatures will remain cool through Monday before we begin to warm up. A Pattern change will take place mid week next week as High pressure and a Tropical System heads toward SoCal for later in the week. So clear those drains from snow as we may see a good rain coming again. That’s it for today.
..Have a good Day! RC

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-35/27*, Twin Peaks-31/22*, Lake Arrowhead-38/26*, Running Springs-29/21*, Big Bear-34/08*, San Berdo-59/32*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Tuesday, Feb 19, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




 

TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
This morning we have a weak offshore flow from a transitory area of High pressure over the Great Basin. Cold air from the High pressure area will flow South keeping the local temperatures in the upper 20s to mid 30s today. We will have plenty of sunshine today but with the fresh snow reflecting all the heat, we won’t see much warmth from the sun. As the area of High Pressure to our North moves to the East today, a Westerly flow will return to SoCal this afternoon.
..Wednesday we will have increasing clouds and fog by the afternoon as another very cold system arrives. Snow levels will fall to the ~3000′ level by Wednesday night as the storm moves in. Snow accumulations at the 3000-4500′ level will be 1-3″, 4500-5500′ will be from 3-6″ and above 5500′ 4-8″ is expected through Thursday afternoon. As the storm arrives, unstable air with very cold temperatures aloft will add a chance for Thundersnow to the area late Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Snow to water ratios will be very high for our area as this will be a Continental based system with some over water enhancement. Ratios of 1-8″ are expected locally.
..Thursday will be stormy with snow across the mountain. Driving conditions will be very bad with icy roads, gusty winds and foggy conditions locally. All of this will begin to clear out by Thursday late afternoon or early evening. Temperatures will remain cold through the weekend with mostly clear skies. A slow warming trend will begin over the weekend but I do mean slow. Temperatures will warm by around 10* by Wednesday, of next week.
..On the longer range outlook, as we slowly warm up from the deep freeze, the weather patterns will change back to a more SW flow across the SoCal region. By the first week of March, we may see a warm rain with Atmospheric River enhancement Around the 3rd of March.
..Have a good Day! RC

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-35/25*, Twin Peaks-30/18*, Lake Arrowhead-36/19*, Running Springs-26/17*, Big Bear-26/06*, San Berdo-56/39*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Monday, Feb 18, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




 

TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning. Happy Birthday Sus! 29 again.
More snow fell during the late afternoon and evening. I received 3″ in Crestline at my location.
..Today we will be clearing out as the area of Low pressure moves from the Great Basin to the East. Behind the departing Trough, cold air advection will follow as Arctic air continues to flow south due to High pressure building into the Great Basin. We will however have lots of sun for the next couple of days as a weak Ridge moves across the West behind the departing Trough. Highs for the next few days will be hard pressed to get out of the low to mid 30s.
..The next system will arrive Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. This will be even colder than the storm we just finished with. Snow levels will be down to the 3000′ level or possible even lower. The local Mountains can expect to receive from 1-3″ below the 4500′ level, 4-8″ below the 6000′ level, and above 6000′ from 4-10″ will be possible. A Winter Storm Warning will be issued for wind and Blowing snow along with poor driving conditions for Wednesday and Thursday. This will be the coldest storm so far this year!
..After Thursday’s storm passes, we will begin a change in the Weather pattern. The resident Low over the West that has brought a pression of storms to the SoCal region will finally break down and move East. A High pressure Ridge will move into the SoCal region bringing in warmer temperatures and almost Spring like weather. But don’t get to comfortable. Remember the MJO? We may see a return of the Pineapple express around the first week of March bringin warm rains back to SoCal.
Have a good Day! RC

Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-34/24*-3″snow/.46″R, Twin Peaks-28/18*, Lake Arrowhead-35/21*, Running Springs-27/16*, Big Bear-30/09*, San Berdo-54/34*-.53″R.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.