Thursday, Jan 31, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 




 

TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH will go into effect today at 10am-this evening.
Currently an area of Low pressure is just off of Point Conception. Rain is spreading South along the West Coast toward SoCal and should arrive here by mid morning. This system will bring mostly rain to the area as the snow levels will be pretty high, around 7k’. Rain will last through around 7pm tonight with .50-1.25″ expected from this system. Clouds, Fog, Rain and wind, along with a chance for Thunderstorms this afternoon will all be in the days Forecast. Currently there are lots of Lightning strikes showing on the GOES17R GLM satellite loop of of Point Conception.
…Friday, We will be in between system for most of the day. Partly cloudy skies and gusty winds will be the forecast for Friday. System #2 will arrive during the evening hours with more rain, Fog and gusty winds at times through Saturday night. The snow levels will begin around the 7k’ level again but will lower to around the 5k’ level by the end of this system. The Big Bear, Running Springs, Green Valley Lake and all areas above the 6000′ level should expect to see some snow with accumulations from 2-5″ at the higher elevations.
…Saturday will be mostly cloudy with showers through most of the day. Snow may fall to the 5000′ level by Saturday evening for whatever is left of this storm. Winter Driving conditions will exist throughout the mountains so plan accordingly.
…Sunday another colder system will arrive lasting through Monday. Snow may fall to the 4500′ level through Monday evening. By the end of this series of storms we will see from 3-5″ of melted Snow/Rain for the mountains.
…On the long range Crystal Ball outlook for february, overall it looks like wet weather will be the norm through the month. RC

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-12*-1969, HIGH-64*-1965.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-58/46*, Twin Peaks-53/41*, Lake Arrowhead-55/45*, Running Springs-53/40*, Big Bear-52/27*, San Berdo-70/46*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Wednesday, Jan 30, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 



TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
Today we will have high clouds again for most of the day. Temperatures will be a little cooler as we transition to a wet pattern for the next several days. Weak onshore flow has brought fog and low clouds to the coastal areas this morning and into some of the Valleys.
…Thursday will be a wet day across most of SoCal as the first system works its way across SoCal. Snow levels will remain above the 6600′ level for this storm however, Thunderstorms may develop between 10am and 4pm which can produce much lower elevation hail/snow as low as the 4500′ at times. There will be a period of heavy rain push through as the center of the low passes over the area. Rainfall amounts from this system is from 1.00-1.50″. So as always be prepared for possible water flow and or debris on the local roads. Road Maintenance crews will be out so use caution around their vehicles and personnel.
…Friday we will be in between systems. Partly Cloudy skies will be likely with gusty winds as we slowly clear out.
…Saturday’s storm looks like the strongest system of this series. Rain will begin early, increasing in intensity throughout the day. The snow levels will start out pretty high at around 6500′-7000′. then as the system works through the snow levels will lower to around the 4500′ level toward the end of this system late Saturday night and early Sunday morning. Running Springs may see from 1-3″ of snow, Big Bear could get up to 3-6″. Rainfall/melted snow amounts are expected to run from 3-5″ overall for the mountain areas.
… The last storm will be the coldest with snow likely to the 4500′ level Monday. More on that later.
..On the long range Crystal Ball outlook for february, overall it looks like wet weather will be the norm through the month. RC

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-12*-1969, HIGH-60*-1965.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-62/44*, Twin Peaks-55/42*, Lake Arrowhead-62/44*, Running Springs-62/42*, Big Bear-57/36*, San Berdo-76/52*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


 

Tuesday, Jan 29, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 



TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
…Today we will continue to have lots of high clouds streaming over the area. This will help to moderate daytime and overnight temperatures. The pressure gradient from the Great Basin to the Coast has weakened allowing an onshore to develop mostly along the Coast this morning. There is some fog along the immediate coastal areas this morning as well. All areas will have partly cloudy skies today with a weak SW breeze.
…Wednesday high clouds will thicken as the day progresses with ridge fog likely in the evening through Thursday as a compact closed Low slides South along the California Coast.
…Thursday, Rain and high elevation snow will be the forecast for our area. Rain may be heavy at times with a chance for a Thunderstorm or two as the center of the Low passes over SoCal during the afternoon hours. The snow level will be ~ 6500-7000′ but may be much lower under any Thunderstorm activity that does develop. Rainfall amounts are expected to be from .75-1.25″ from this first storm.
…Friday will be a transitional day between systems with partly cloudy skies and gusty winds.
…Saturday, system #2, the next and wettest of the three systems will arrive. Locally, rainfall amounts are expected to run from 2-5″ for this storm. Rain, heavy at times, may cause flash flooding and debris in roadways. This storm looks like it will have a Tropical Moisture feed (AR) Precipital Moisture (PWAT) is expected to be around 1.25″. Orographic lift will bring the highest rainfall to the South and West facing mountain and foothill slopes locally. The snow level will start out around the 7000′ level and slowly lower to around the 6k-6500′ level by Sunday.
… Late Sunday into Monday system #3 will arrive. This will be the coldest of these three systems with snow levels possibly down to the 4500′ level by Monday. As this is getting a little too far out time wise to be sure of anything at this time, this system doesn’t look like it will be especially moisture laden.
…So overall, we will be entering a wet period again much like the one a week ago.
..On the long range Crystal Ball outlook for february, overall it looks like wet weather will be the norm through the month. RC

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-10*-1979, HIGH-62*-2003.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-58/44*, Twin Peaks-54/44*, Lake Arrowhead-56/48*, Running Springs-56/48*, Big Bear-56/34*, San Berdo-76/58*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


Monday, Jan 28, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 



TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
Today we will start the week out with mostly clear skies except for some high clouds and mild temperatures. Today should be the warmest day of the next seven.
A cooling trend will begin tomorrow as a pattern change begins to take shape across the West.
…Tuesday and Wednesday increasing High clouds with a strengthening onshore flow, will help to bring a Marine layer Inland Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. No fog is expected at that time for the mountain areas.
…Wednesday the first of a series of systems will begin to affect the region. Rain/Wind and Fog will be likely Wednesday evening through Thursday morning with a chance for a Thunderstorm locally, as a compact Cold Core area of Low pressure passes over SoCal Thursday morning. Snow levels will be above the 5500′ level except during any Thunderstorms that do develop. Then we could see snow showers to the ~4500′ level. Accumulations are looking like possibly 2-4″ for the Big Bear, Green Valley Lake, Running Springs and Arrowbear. Below Running Springs 0-2″ will be possible..
Friday we should be partly cloudy as another system heads our way for Saturday and Sunday.
…This system for the Weekend looks colder and wetter, so lower snow levels are expected with greater amounts of snow/rain across the area. More on that tomorrow.
…On the longer range outlook another system is looking like a possibility for next Monday/Tuesday as well. Then a break from the stormy weather.RC

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-12*-1975, HIGH-60*-1951.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-62/40*, Twin Peaks-58/44*, Lake Arrowhead-66/48*, Running Springs-61/46*, Big Bear-65/28*, San Berdo-80/48*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


Sunday, Jan 27, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 



TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
…The NE winds have died out this morning bringing a calm day with occasional high clouds for the rest of today. As the surface pressure at the Great Basin continues to weaken we will see a return to onshore flow during the afternoon hours and a weak offshore flow at night and in the mornings due to the diurnal heating and cooling of the desert area.
…Temperatures will slowly cool over the next few days as we transition to a possible wet pattern beginning as soon as Wednesday PM.
…Wednesday a closed Low will slide rapidly South along the Coast of California bringing a chance for rain to our area Wednesday night through Thursday morning. Rainfall amounts from this system will be minimal as it looks now. There will be a chance for the Subtropical Jet to enhance the moisture so as always I will be keeping an eye on that.
…Friday we will be under a weak Ridge as another quick moving closed Low approaches for Saturday through Sunday morning.
…This system for Sat/Sun looks more promising as it will be better organized and will have much better moisture with it. Rain will be likely below the 7000′ level with snow as low as the ~6500′ level possible as it looks this morning.
…Both of these systems are closed Lows and will pass directly over SoCal. As these systems pass over the area, we may see a few Thunderstorms along with gusty winds and much lower snow levels due to downdrafts associated with and Thunderstorms that may develop.
…This wet pattern may stick around for several days as the long range outlook shows several chances for rain through the next week to ten days. RC

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-16*-1979, HIGH-62*-2003.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-57/36*, Twin Peaks-52/42*, North/Lk-Arhd-55/42*, Running Springs-51/43*, Big Bear-50/26*, San Berdo-79/52*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


Saturday, Jan 26, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 



TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
…This morning we have a fairly strong NE wind due to a ~10mb pressure gradient from the Great Basin to the Coast. The NWS has issued a WIND ADVISORY through 6pm today.
…High pressure aloft along the West Coast will remain in place through Monday. An area of High pressure at the surface over the Great Basin will slowly erode over the next 24hours giving us a break from the NE winds by later today or tonight. High based clouds will move over the area from the SW later this morning along with slightly warmer temperatures through Sunday.
…Current winds speeds around the area are; Paivika Ridge-NE@24-35mph, Lake Gregory-NE@12-20mph, LK Arrowhead-NE@10-15, San Berdo-NE@10-25mph, Big Bear-E@5-15mph.
…Monday things will begin to change as the Pacific High starts to break down and move East. This will bring in an onshore flow for Monday and Tuesday.
…Wednesday a weak atmospheric wave will move through the interior of the State signaling a pattern change for our area. We should see increasing clouds Wednesday and Thursday but no rain yet.
…Then a transitory Ridge will set up for Friday with NE winds likely for a short period.
…Saturday and Sunday there will be a chance for rain locally as the first of a series of systems moves through SoCal.
…On the long range outlook, the first two weeks of February look promising for rain for all of SoCal. Precipital Water (PWAT) levels will be up as through the period helping to feed moisture from the Tropics into these systems as it looks this morning.
…The El Nino is a complicated equation and is hard to get a definite answer, or handle on. It looks like we will see El Nino type effects at times over the next two months as the Atmospheric River (AR) will aid in the available moisture to some of the systems that move through SoCal for the rest of this Winter. The long range outlooks show wetter that normal rainfall for SoCal through March. This is also when the El Nino effects typically show up.
…For more on this topic go to the El Nino page found on the drop down menu on the main page of the website. RC

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-11*-1950, HIGH-66*-1951.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-52/45*, Twin Peaks-49/39*, Cedar Ridge-Lk-Arhd-51/41*, Running Springs-49/41*, Big Bear-54/27*, San Berdo-79/55*.



Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.


Friday, Jan 25, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 


TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
…We will continue to be on the Eastern edge of a Ridge of High pressure (Pacific High) that will bring warmer temperatures through Sunday. To our East is a deep trough of Low pressure that will generate a couple of weak waves, or systems, passing through East of SoCal over the next few days. These will produce periods of gusty NE winds tonight and Saturday, then again late Sunday and early Monday.
…Locally temperatures will warm up with well above normal temperatures Saturday and Sunday. Clear skies with only a few high clouds at times along with occasional gusty winds will be the weekend Forecast.
… Beginning late Monday the Ridge of high pressure will begin to break down as a pattern change begins to develop for the West Coast. Temperatures will begin to cool down to more normal levels through the work week as onshore flow moves over the area Monday and Tuesday. Fog may develop in the Valley Monday morning but we should remain mostly clear here in the mountains.
…On the long range outlook, it looks likely that the storm Track will return to SoCal after the 2nd of February with several systems possible through the 10th of the month. There is also a good chance for Sub Tropical moisture to be drawn up from the Tropics to support the rainfall locally. As far as snow goes it’s too early to know but it does look promising for the last two systems at this time. RC

Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-12*-1950, HIGH-69*-1951.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-50/38*, Twin Peaks-47/34*, Cedar Ridge-Lk-Arhd-48/33*, Running Springs-48/35*, Big Bear-47/14*, San Berdo-74/44*.


 



Thursday, Jan 24, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 


TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
Other than a few minor changes we will be in a static weather pattern through the end of January. A deep area of Low pressure over the middle part of the US along with a Ridge of High pressure just off of the California coast will bring mostly clear skies and warmer temperatures through Tuesday of next week. We will have periods of gusty NE winds as a couple of weak atmospheric waves pass through to our East during the next five day period. Friday will be the first wave bringing gusty NE winds, then another round of winds for Monday into Tuesday.
…On the long range outlook, the next chance for rain will come around the first week of February. As it looks this morning, February will be a very wet month as per the long range forecast models. The deep area of Low pressure over the middle part of the US will move East allowing the Storm Track to return to the West Coast. The El Nino forecast is in favor of a coupling of the Atmosphere and the Oceans Sea Surface Temperatures (SST’s) during the next few months bringing Sub Tropical moisture to the area in the form of the Atmospheric River, similar to what we had last week, locally. RC

Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-12*-1949, HIGH-67*-1951.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-55/41*, Twin Peaks-51/39*, N-Lk Arrowhead-62/41*, Running Springs-51/42*, Big Bear-58/25*, San Berdo-69/44*.



Wednesday, Jan 23, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 


TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
…High pressure over the Great Basin and along the West Coast will be our main weather feature for the next 5 Days or so. The gusty NE winds will subside today with the exception of the local Canyons and Ridges. The NWS WIND ADVISORY will expire today at noon.
…Today temperatures will warm by around 10-15* locally over yesterday’s High temps. We will have clear skies with light winds, mostly from the NE through the day.
…Thursday will be a little cooler but will be a very nice day around the mountain with passing High clouds along with light and variable winds.
…Friday and Saturday we will have very nice weather with the warmest days of the week. Plenty of Sun, warmer temperatures, along with light and variable winds will make for a very nice weekend in the mountains.
…On the long range outlook, a pattern change looks likely for around the 5th of February. The deep area of Low pressure over the middle part of the US will move East allowing the Storm Track to return to the West Coast. The El Nino forecast is in favor of a coupling of the Atmosphere and the Oceans Sea Surface Temperatures (SST’s) over the next few months bringing Sub Tropical moisture to the area in the form of the Atmospheric River, similar to what we had last week, locally. RC

Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-30*. RECORD LOW-15*-1949, HIGH-62*-1970.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-42/33*, Twin Peaks-36/33*, Cedar Ridge-39/30*, Running Springs-36/33*, Big Bear-34/20*, San Berdo-61/42*.



Tuesday, Jan 22, 2019

 

TODAY’S LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES:

 


TODAY’S WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST:

Good Morning.
…The NWS has issued A HIGH WIND WARNING for our area through 2pm today, a WIND ADVISORY will remain in effect through noon Wednesday!!
…Today we will have clear skies with strong gusty NE winds from 10-40mph. The strongest winds will be in the canyons and along the ridges.
Yesterday’s quick moving storm that brought rain and snow to the area is long gone now.
…The gusty NE winds will taper off tomorrow as an expanding East Pacific High will be our main weather factor for the next several days. Temperatures will slowly warm though Friday as the High pressure area takes hold.
…Next weekend there is a chance for another inside slider to affect our area. An area of low pressure is expected to slide down the interior of the State once again around Friday passing to our East Friday night or Saturday morning. So I will be updating on that as we get closer to the weekend.
…Rain/snow totals for my location was .52″ from yesterday’s storm bringing my season total to 20.23″. RC

Have a great day, and thanks for joining me @ www.lakegregoryweather.com.
Be sure to check out the website for live webcams from around the area along with live weather conditions and a view of Lake Gregory from my weather station at the South side of the lake.

January’s average High and Low temperatures for this day:
HIGH-45*, LOW-29*. RECORD LOW-12*-1982, HIGH-64*-1950.
Yesterday’s High and Low temperatures were:
Crestline-44/32*.52″R, Twin Peaks-35/27*, N-Lk-Arrowhead-44/26*, Running Springs-41/23*, Big Bear-39/24*, San Berdo-62/50*.

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